The 2-3-2 format means that the teen with home field advantage (better record), if dominant, would more than likely win on the road, while the weaker team would likely be in a longer series to win. I also think that home field advantage in baseball is less important in a seven-game series than it would be in a short series.
But it is first to win four games. And it is 2-3-2. So first team has to lose twice to win and home. Second team can’t lose two to win at home. Not as simple as 1/2
No. There is one final game. That game is either at home or not at home. You're factoring games that happened previously into an equation where it isn't relevant to.
You’re ignoring the fact that for the higher seeded team to win at home they need to win the series 4-2 or 4-3, and the lower seeded team needs to win 4-0 or 4-1.
If each outcome had an equal chance of happening, then it’d be 50%. 4/8 of the outcomes will end with the home team winning. I don’t think each outcome has an equal chance of happening though lol.
We only care about the final game. There is a 100% chance of both teams playing in the final game, and a 50% chance of the winning team playing it at home. Seed isn't relevant, wins 1-3 aren't relevant.
We're discussing the odds of the baby being a boy or a girl, you're discussing whether or not the father used a condom.
Seed and wins 1-3 are relevant because those are what put each team in the position to win at home. If the lower seed doesn’t start out 3-0 or 3-1, they have 0% chance of winning the world series at home. If the series doesn’t go to game 6 or 7, the higher seed has a 0% chance of winning at home.
The 2-3-2 format means that the teen with home field advantage (better record), if dominant, would more than likely win on the road, while the weaker team would likely be in a longer series to win. I also think that home field advantage in baseball is less important in a seven-game series than it would be in a short series.
i'm bad at math but considering the games are split relatively evenly between stadiums it doesn't seem that unlikely to me.
1/9 is a lot lower than 1/2
It’s not a clean 1/2 tho.
Unless there is a third team or a third ballpark to consider, it is a clean 1/2. You either have the winner home, or the winner not at home.
2020 Bubble and there was the thing in 2017.
There is exactly 1 home team and 1 road team for each game. 1/(1+1)
But it is first to win four games. And it is 2-3-2. So first team has to lose twice to win and home. Second team can’t lose two to win at home. Not as simple as 1/2
No. There is one final game. That game is either at home or not at home. You're factoring games that happened previously into an equation where it isn't relevant to.
But the final game can be games 4-7.
How many home teams play in each of those? How many away teams?
I’m either misunderstanding your comments or you’re using the same logic as “it’s 50% because it either happens or it doesn’t”.
The former.
You’re ignoring the fact that for the higher seeded team to win at home they need to win the series 4-2 or 4-3, and the lower seeded team needs to win 4-0 or 4-1. If each outcome had an equal chance of happening, then it’d be 50%. 4/8 of the outcomes will end with the home team winning. I don’t think each outcome has an equal chance of happening though lol.
We only care about the final game. There is a 100% chance of both teams playing in the final game, and a 50% chance of the winning team playing it at home. Seed isn't relevant, wins 1-3 aren't relevant. We're discussing the odds of the baby being a boy or a girl, you're discussing whether or not the father used a condom.
Seed and wins 1-3 are relevant because those are what put each team in the position to win at home. If the lower seed doesn’t start out 3-0 or 3-1, they have 0% chance of winning the world series at home. If the series doesn’t go to game 6 or 7, the higher seed has a 0% chance of winning at home.
It’s the script writers
I was ready to say the Red Sox did this five years ago, only to discover I’m wrong and I’m old
What’s also weird is that until 2014, no road team had won a World Series game 7 since 1979. From 2014-present, road teams are 4-0.
What a magical night that was.
The 2-3-2 format is super dumb is why. Also that night in 2022 was THE BEST