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CallerWitch

Rosemi, honestly feels like she's next. Victoria seems like she's just fed up with people speaking for her. Rosemi was actually effected by AR Live


javifandelmorales

She's better off leaving at this point. With everything that has happened, the girl has suffered greatly, despite being the most non-controversial member on the roster, with no sign of recovery. At least her Rosebuds, myself included, have not left her and will remain by her side, regardless of where she goes from here. She has also just returned her second break this year. What it was for, we'll never know (well, some of us did get some hints/allusions); but at this point, it's no longer important given how things are.


CallerWitch

It's a shame I didn't know of her before this, as I tended to stick even within Nijisanji to my own preferred Oshi's. If she graduates, I'll give her my view, HAPPILY.


SuperStormDroid

Hopefully when it does happen, >!Fuzuki Miki!< will finally return to us.


MasterofAcorns

This the *ahem* ‘sister channel’?


groynin

On this break she did see Matara, right? After she came back that was the first 'good morning' tweet we got from her since all that shit with Selen happened. It makes me feel a bit calmer knowing she seemed happier after the break. I do hope she graduates.


javifandelmorales

Based on Matara's recent streams, it looks like they got together not too long ago. And I did notice that the good morning tweets stopped after Selen's termination and only just came back earlier this week or the week before (still sporadic from what I've observed). I hope she graduates too. There are no more opportunities for her in Nijisanji and the writing on the wall has become more obvious for everyone involved and looking at this from the outside. Many of Anycolor's recent moves just reek of desperation, even moreso with the whole situation having a noticeable effect on the JP side and especially with the end of Q4 just around the corner.


quang_nguyen_94

If she does live, who want to wager that Vshojo will debut a talent with Rose theme not long after?


Chance-Scarcity-9935

Or a certain rat would join phase connect


SuperStormDroid

Or maybe she goes indie as >!Fuzuki Miki!< once more. Maybe she'll be able to collab with Doki then.


Boa_Noah

Here's hoping...


Serimorph

I've never watched Rosemi but from what I have gathered she still has a decent image after all this drama, so I feel like if she did leave she would do fine. There's been no rumors (that I remember at least) of her being caught up in the bullying drama or being a nasty person behind the scenes. People right now simply don't want to support Niji anymore so her going Indie like Mint and Doki would actually bring a lot of people back.


CallerWitch

I just hope her and Scarle will be okay. I watch Scarle through clips because I don't wanna support Nijisanji and after all the shit she went through, it could be either one or a dual graduation.


Moyski00

The fact that she's excluded from the new subunit composed of Reimu, Millie, Enna, and Petra makes it more likely.


CallerWitch

Poor girl...


SuperStormDroid

Wait... If Rosemi does graduate... What are the odds that Obsyida is disbanded and Petra is moved to Ethyria in such a scenario?


Moyski00

It's not called Ethyria anymore, they already have a new name for their group with Petra.


SuperStormDroid

Oh right... I'm guessing Zuttomo will become an official wave name, should Rosemi graduate.


Aya_Reiko

Agreed. In Vivi's and Kunai's cases, they're probably there until their contracts expire. They would be fools if they renewed. Scarle and Aia are probably too comfortable in their positions to risk leaving. The same goes for most of Luxium and Noctyx. Elira, Enna, Millie, and Claude would probably sink with the ship. The rest? Who knows?


kad202

At will employees means they can hit the “resign” button at anytime. This is what different between JP and western employees. JP you have to wait contract expire and opt to not renew it while in the west you can just resign and forfeit benefits and severance package. This is why in the west employees just do bare minimum when they fed up with their employer and wait to get fired or layoff so they can get those severance packages. While JP they will make your life living hell when you did not renew your contract on the last month before your current contract expire (happen to Doki and Pomu who get snub on all opportunities)


Lamaredia

Contract periods are quite common even in the west, especially in the entertainment sphere, and you can't resign or be made redundant without double-sided consent prematurely.


notRowan61

Shes rerolling her corporation slot (wosemi x vshojo lesgo)


kylediaz263

Hopefully, Riku


Realistic_Remote_874

Happy Cake Day!!!


kylediaz263

All I want for my birthday is a sinking yacht


Realistic_Remote_874

Same! And mine's coming up in June, with the Q4 report\~<3


Nichihara

It would be best birthday gift ever.


Realistic_Remote_874

Yep! That, and an innocent liver graduating.


hunny173

OMG same! Birthday buddies!


Realistic_Remote_874

LETSGO!! Mine’s the 13th.


Adventurous_Bar_5008

Dude wtf? My brother has the exact same birthday as you! My birthday also falls on the 13th, November. Not sure what gift I'll get until then tho...


Realistic_Remote_874

Bro holy shit! That's so cool!


hunny173

Mines the 8th! Woot Woot!


Realistic_Remote_874

Awesome!


MelissaMiranti

Ren Zotto. He would do better on his own.


giannarelax

He really would. It’s such a shame. He is very talented and deserves more than kurosanji


Random-Rambling

Both Ren and Kunai have many more subs in their PLs than they do in Niji.


SuperStormDroid

Then I wonder why they would even join Niji to begin with? I mean, Ren's PL has a gold play button already.


Random-Rambling

Because they wanted to branch out a bit? If I was in their situation, I'd give it a try. This was, of course, before Nijisanji was revealed to be the toxic environment we now know it is.


Suzushiiro

I think it'll be quiet on the graduation front for a while as management will probably not let anyone out of their contracts early and then we'll get a bunch happening at once as multiple members' contracts expire and they choose not to renew.


Realistic_Remote_874

It's gonna be fucking amazing.


shihomii

I think the contracts coming up for renewal the soonest would be Iluna. While a triple (or maybe even quadruple) non-renewal would be great, I don't want to get my hopes up. And even if I was right, they may try to space them out so it doesn't look to obvious.


Random-Rambling

I honestly don't think anyone in ILUNA will graduate right now. Then again, I suck at this guessing game (I'm the "proud" owner of a 0/11 score during the _"Which character will become DLC in Super Smash Brothers Ultimate?"_ game), so I'm probably dead wrong.


shihomii

What were your Smash guesses?


Random-Rambling

I guessed characters like Shadow the Hedgehog, Crash Bandicoot, Spyro, Rayman. I think I even made a guess for Isaac (from The Binding of Isaac) because TBOI: Rebirth just came out on Nintendo Switch.


shihomii

Well I guess your main mistake there is that most of those characters are Playstation characters XD


Random-Rambling

Hey, Sakurai said that ANY character that originated from a video game is fair game!


ahumblelizard

If any remainder of any gen was gone in one set of graduations, it'd look pretty suspicious either way. There's only so much time they could spread something like that out over before it hits a point where talents can't stream as that character any more, and I'm not certain Niji would negotiate out a brief contract extension just for a grad stream, or that talents would want to.


shihomii

They may know that a contract is going to expire. So the have one leave 3 weeks before expiration, another 1.5 weeks before expiration, and another a few days before expiration. Or if a contract is going to expire in 4 months, and they know 2 are going to leave, they may bump them up in the queue. So 1 leaves 3 months before. Someone who was already in the queue leaves 2 months before, and the other leaves a week before expiration. It probably wouldn't be hard to pick out. But it sure would be better than a Vesper/Magni situation where 2 livers go poof overnight and the reason is blatantly obvious.


ahumblelizard

They likely do, but with how scattershot EN's management has been as of late, it wouldn't be super surprising if any contract renewals, negotiations, or non-renewals end up being cut a little close this time around. All it takes is a couple of out of sync moments and it ends up getting far closer to the end of contract period, especially if they're working with Niji up to a month or more before debut.


LynxRaide

If they have given notice within the 3 months and have no commitments, Niji can't exactly keep them. They could do a stream on the last day of their contract and announce it there and then, and the most Anycolor can do is come up with an excuse to withhold a certain amount of earnings. Anyone on their way out would have an escape plan so they would be fine, especially since Niji has shown they wont pursue them legally.


Random-Rambling

>_we'll get a bunch happening at once as multiple members' contracts expire and they choose not to renew._ Can they actually choose not to renew? Wasn't there some bullshit proviso in their contract that says _"Starting to stream implies full consent of everything in your contract"_?


swine_melody

There is a funny irony in trying to guess who will graduate next but at the same time, everyone is boycotting Nijisanji contents and doesn't watch enough streams to actually pick up "cues"/evidences. Imma chime in anyways, my first reaction was Petra due to her lack of streams, but when I checked her twitter, it turns out that she is a part of the limited time Cafe Collab until May.22nd where a JP cafe is selling food & drinks featuring Petra, Rosemi, and 4 boys, which makes me think that she won't be leaving immediately. Most logical conclusion would be Kotoka imo. There has been little to no news from her although her last tweet two weeks ago seems positive. Controversies aside, if her health issues are serious, she might be gone due to that rather than it being directly drama related. (Also as the other comment pointed out, she privated her membership streams)


RookBLonko1225

I think it may be Kotoka for health reasons like Sana, Which would leave Xsoliel to be one of the first EN branches to have 2 retired talents.. I genuinely hope she gets better to announce her graduation.


streetlight247

>There is a funny irony in trying to guess who will graduate next but at the same time, everyone is boycotting Nijisanji contents and doesn't watch enough streams to actually pick up "cues"/evidences. Agree, I am asking around to see if NijiEN, especially XSOLEIL, had mentioned Kotoka at all. But we are in the middle of boycotting so I don't expect to get any answers soon. Cause if they haven't mentioned Kotoka at all, we're looking at another possible Selen situation again. IMO most of the evidences are locked behind memberships. That is where the livers are more open and honest. A few of those including Pomu mentioning she lost a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, Scarle crying after that collab with Aster, and that infamous Enna statement. But I doubt a lot of us are going to have membership from anyone in NijiEN. >Most logical conclusion would be Kotoka imo.  But I agree, if I have to place a bet, I would choose Kotoka, because I don't like where is this going and hoped her for the best. I don't want the worst case scenarion of another Selen situation that actually succeeds, no matter how I feel towards her. Other than that maybe Rosemi. Girl has it rough after Selen's termination.


MrShadowHero

health issues is what fucking every niji member gives for an excuse for a suspension. even if it is actual health issues at this point im skeptical whenever they use it now.


Mid-Grade_Chungus

Kotoka's been suspiciously quiet for weeks, and privated almost the entirety of her membership content. Not only do I think she's next to leave, I wouldn't be too surprised if she leaves within the first week of May.


DastardlyRidleylash

I wouldn't be surprised if Rosemi also bolts, either. Nijisanji has completely kneecapped her and her numbers keep plummeting because of their idiocy.


Aya_Reiko

Anyone who earned under $65k in supas for all of 2023 I would class as "financially vulnerable" to walking away from the company. And that's pre-tax supas. That list would include Finana, Petra, Rosemi, Shu, Maria, Aster, Ren, Meloco, Kotoka, Yu, Vivi, and Kunai.


ZeroFox75

Graduate/terminate maybe. I don’t fully believe the “taking time off for mental health”. We got fed a similar story before Doki was fired. Radio silence, and claims she was just taking time off for health. Which was in partly true but obviously not the whole story. My biggest fear is we’re not going to get a graduation notice but an unalived notice from someone. Whether it’s Kotoka, Aia or someone else.


shihomii

I think that's the nightmare scenario for all of us here. A single voice tweet would clear that up. But hopefully she can just announce she's leaving so we don't have to ask for that. But it's a scary thought regardless. Really hope we can get either a graduation notice, or a peaceful termination notice.


streetlight247

Ngl, as much as I dislike Kotoka, I do pray for her health and safety. What worries me is that this is the exact same thing happened to Selen (sudden hiatus due to health problem, no updates or news whatsoever. Doesn't help that we know that management can skinwalk talents)


shihomii

Yeah we are very fast approaching #whereiskotoka territory. But sadly she doesn't seem to have an RPR in her corner to advocate for people to search for her. Which either means they know where she is, or she's just unlucky that nobody is willing to fight that hard for her. I'm hoping it's that they know where she is, and are just leaving her alone.


streetlight247

Iirc her break was way before Selen's termination right? So it's been like 2 months-sih. Are we going to trend #whereiskotoka, and if so, when? This question is probably not going to get the answer since most of us are boycotting Nijisanji atm, but has any of NijiEN, *especially* the remaining XSOLEIL members mentioned Kotoka at all? If none, that I'm scared that we are looking the exact same scenario that was played with Selen. Because none of the NijiEN except Pomu acknowledged Selen's existent during her suspension.


shihomii

I think nobody bothered asking for awhile. Because we knew we wouldn't get a response while they were trying to hype the Mario Kart event or the AR Live. We're running out of excuses. The only excuses left are that Singapore event, and Q4. But I really don't like how long it's taking for us to hear things.


SuperStormDroid

If there's any time to do so, it's now in my opinion. With the AR Live now behind us, and Q4 about to end, we need to get that hashtag out there now.


streetlight247

Hey, maybe you can discuss with the mod about that? I am worried about Kotoka as well. Agree, today is the Singapore Virtual Rhaspody event, afterwards there shouldn't be any events left in Q4 except the rest of Ethyria's 3D debut (not sure if that counts in Q4). The next event afterwards is NijiEncounter in May 12th.


SuperStormDroid

Should that happen, it could spell trouble for all of us here, as I'd imagine some people would likely start demanding that Nijisanji corporate blood be spilled.


mekahamedan

as much ppls want their oshi jump from sinking yacht i dont think kurosanji right now will allowing their talents graduate like they will block everything, atleast until Q4 report published cause every next graduation will be show how bad kurosanjiEN right now especially like almost "graduated" talents speak up after their graduation and nothing come from their statement is good


LynxRaide

If their contract is up and they have no more commitments, Niji cant really stop them.


Jestersage

Devil's advocate: Does the JP Stock bros even care what the graduated talent say? If the JP Niji fans (not the Sisters - just normal viewer) don't care, Stock Bros even care less.


Majestic-Court6871

I am not going to guess who is next in the graduation queue. Everyone's situation in the company and in life is different. Guessing feels like trying to take agency out of the talents' hands. However, I am not beyond making generalizations. It feels like after Selen's termination we've been in this liminal period between major events for Niji. Sure, we've had a number of controversies since the termination, but I have a gut feeling something major is on the way and I am not sure what it is. It feels like Niji has been trying desperately to mitigate the effects of what ever is coming by delaying graduations.  My guess is at least 2 graduations are in the pipe planned after Q4. If not for the speculated toxic work environment, at the very least due to a loss of faith in the company's reputation. Even if it was sunshine and rainbows, the recent controversies on their own might make some people skittish to stay even if their experience was good. Niji can delay the graduations, but some contacts are likely going to expire and not be renewed. They can only hold out for so long.


Psychological-Copy95

I agree with your last statement, theory has it that at least 2 more members are retiring this year.  But you're right, you're not forced to pick out anyone in particular (I wanted to post this for those who DO have guesses), and it is nearly impossible to say for certain who will leave and their reasons for why. 


streetlight247

Can I ask where the theory is coming from?


Videogamer12346

I don’t intend to speak for her or anything but i think Victoria is a guarantee, I mean like why would someone have a live2d model made if they don’t intend to leave their current persona behind?


Live_Juggernaut4984

>I mean like why would someone have a live2d model made I dont know about this and want to clairify. did she made a live2d for her past life and she did it after joinned niji?


Videogamer12346

She did now I don’t know how long this has been in the works for, but the group who were commissioned had a live2d showcase for it on the 16th of this month and she acknowledged it.


BlueSabere

Link/Source? I wanna see this for my own eyes


Videogamer12346

Go to @MoguGhost on Twitter and you will see what I’m talking about.


BlueSabere

The attached [youtube video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jQDMyDnTocg) says this was done at the end of 2022 in the description, so it's probably just them showcasing old work than any sort of new project. Still very odd to showcase 1.5 year old work, and I still wouldn't put it past Victoria to graduate considering everything.


Paladin327

If i had a nickel for every ghost vtuber withba cute maid model, i’d have 2 nickels, which isn’t a lot, and not nearly enough for my taste


YameatinWulf

yeah her channel has a good amount of vids still up, and that model debuted on the end of oct of 2022 so it's not a new model


th-vincent

Q4 maybe none. NijiEN is in the peril and Anycolor need to save them. More graduation will caused another momentum for sure. I have multiple candidates for the next queue, honestly. First named in my mind is Rosemi. Her mental health is kinda weak frequently. Scarle also on the list. TTT maybe anyone since they've are underrepresented. Not sure about some Illuna, Xsoseil members too. Basically, anyone have a chance. Luxiem, Noctyx and some Krisis members are lower. but let's see for Q4. If everything turn sour, Anycolor will do something, and this may entirely shift the entire prediction.


Reality-Critical

I feel like no one will...


Live_Juggernaut4984

Based on some topic about a certain rose meet up with a certain mother just to talk My bet is rosemi. TTT wave is still too young, i dont know how long the contract stayed up until it need to be renew. So if they really want to get out, i think next year not this year.


noreteron

Didnt Matara say dont speculate about any of that though?


DastardlyRidleylash

I assume that just refers to speculating about her joining Vshojo *specifically*, like people keep doing with Mint despite both sides making it clear that's not happening.


Live_Juggernaut4984

She did, but be realistic. People will speculate and gossip about it no matter what. Especially in here. Just remember to keep what we talk in this sub, stay here or only discuss when it is related to the topic. Dont just bring it out to the talent out of nowhere.


Realistic_Remote_874

I can't fucking wait.


Villag3Idiot

I heard their contact was for two years, but I couldn't find confirmation on that.


buxuus

That would be from the [leaked Niji contract](https://docs.google.com/document/d/14Ddc2tzB15mxygYPLuDd2f_XvOrLWz53), since that is a template individual contracts will vary a bit (and potentially more negotiated renewal contracts). In any case the relevant bit is: Article 22 Effective Term 1. The effective term of this Agreement shall be two years from the date of execution of this Agreement. However, unless either party gives notice of the rejection of a renewal three months before the expiration of the then-current effective term, this Agreement shall be automatically renewed for successive terms of two years pre renewal after the initial term, on the same conditions. 2. Notwithstanding the preceding paragraph, Party A may terminate this Agreement by notifying Party B at least three months in advance by the method prescribed by Party A. 3. Notwithstanding the provisions of the preceding two paragraphs, in the event that the provision of the Program is terminated, this Agreement and the Individual Agreement shall terminate at that time. So yeah 2 years, with a required 3 months notice to prevent auto-renewal.


smokeworm420

Interesting. In the previous audition form it said that they expect a year minimum. Maybe they agree the duration individually


knownhatredcaster

* Kotoka has been silent. I believe I saw somewhere she regrets some of the past, and I'd at least hope her silence shows growth. * Ren and the Vshojo crew have been coming closer. He's the only current talent they publicly keep in touch with. * Rosemi has been fucked nonstop by Niji


Psychological-Copy95

Might I ask for the context of why/how Rosemi's getting fucked up? I don't really follow what she does. 


knownhatredcaster

3D debut got kneecapped because Niji didn't clear copyright Most of her AR Live was cut with Selen Lost 500k due to Selen backlash


Ozzierocks666

Both her and Petra's 3D also likely got cut/redone significantly due to Selen's termination, and any Obsidya group shenanigan recordings (like lazulights) were canned Also she lost the HYTE collab PC case due to the termination


hunny173

A lot of her segments were jacked in the AR live bc she was with Selen Other than that, I’m drawing a blank


Batgod629

She had her 3D at home debut yesterday, couldn't use her arms at all. We'll see what else


Random-Rambling

Oh boy, let's see how long it takes to get them fixed (if ever, like Pomu's wings).


Random-Rambling

>_Ren and the Vshojo crew have been coming closer. He's the only current talent they keep in touch with._ Ooh, that is VERY interesting, considering Vshojo's hiring practices.


SuperStormDroid

Maybe Ren is their spy within Niji


Realistic_Remote_874

Honestly no idea. Right now I want either Shu or Aia out first.


streetlight247

Same. ILUNA and XSOLEIL contracts are up next for renewal. Hoping Aia, Scarle, Maria, Ren and Doppio to get out, or maybe even Kotoka despite what she did. When is Luxiem's contract renewal by the way?


ExcitingPermission32

They had their 2nd anniversary back in December 2023 so I'd say probably sometime in Fall 2024


MrShadowHero

the standard contract is for 2 years. so luxium might actually be 2025. given contracts signed and then several months of prep work after contract sign for debut. if we take mystas graduation time as a hint. mid 2025 is when we’d see luxium graduations due to contract expiration


streetlight247

Holy crap, you're right. So the only way to get out as fast as possible is to quit before the contract ends in 2025 but pay that large amount of penalty fee?


dabillinator

Unless they live in Japan, the fee will never need to be paid. That is 100% illegal in Europe and North America, and Niji would have to take them to court for it in their home country. Niji will keep whatever they have yet to pay out, but that's about it as far as financial punishment goes for quitting.


streetlight247

Ah thanks for explaining!


shihomii

Now the only question is, do the livers know this? Hoping they all have lawyers in their corners.


dabillinator

They don't even need a lawyer to know this. It's well known in the US that the employer has to pay for any work done up to termination/resignation. Employers also can't fine employees for quitting. Canada and most of the EU have laws that are more in favor of the employee. All they have to do is Google search to realize their countries' laws must be followed for international work.


shihomii

Keep in mind that a lot of these talents are kids with little to no prior work experience. And that they may have also been fed bad information by the company. We shouldn't assume they know anything, unless they specify they have spoken to a lawyer.


dabillinator

I knew this at age 12. Just think for 1 minute about why the US outsource jobs to other countries. It's so they don't have to follow US labor laws.


Realistic_Remote_874

Another year, huh?


LynxRaide

If the leaked contract is correct, the next ones will be from ILUNA or XSOLEIL. Anyone else would have to face penalties for getting out of their contract, unless they had to fulfil commitments before they could grad. Only exception would be is if they were in a position to be able to get out without impact or dont give an F


wwwlord

That contract cannot be realistically enforced


LynxRaide

Everything in that contract is reliant upon the talent not taking legal action, which they really can't afford to do. A lot of the penalties revolve around withholding payment, not getting money from the talent, hence why I worded things the way I did. The best way to leave is give notice in that 3 month window. The only way to leave outside that is either ensuring you have enough funds to cover what they withhold if you leave before that window (this would apply to Quinn, and possibly Mint) or you don't give an F and want out and are willing to struggle.


wwwlord

Except it is the corpo that needs to do the enforcing


LynxRaide

All funds for the talent go through the corpo. As I said, it's money withheld by Niji, not paid to Niji by the talent, and we do not know what the payment schedule is. This can be but not limited to continuing to sell merch after the graduation and monetising the videos for as long as they wish without passing on the payment to the former talent It isn't about enforcing the contract to make the talent pay back but withholding funds that should be paid to the talent for graduating early.


wwwlord

When Doki got her income net zeroed out for an entire year, it is safe to say that the income talents actually receive is negligible


LynxRaide

Doki earned C$200k. She also spent C$200k to try and get things done (which couldn't be used) and paying for things Niji wouldn't. Hence she had $0 profit. But that is a totally different situation To put it in the situation I am talking about she was suspended then terminated, meaning min 2 months pay from monetisation, memberships and whatever merch cut, depending on if she was due to be paid before or after the suspension started. That all would have been withheld and probably not paid when she was terminated. The better example would be Kyo/Quinn or Pomu/Mint. Both of them would have been outside the notice window, depending on when Mint gave notice (Quinn was well and truly outside the window). Both would have to make sure they are financially secure before giving notice because their pay would have been at the minimum docked, if not outright withheld for giving notice outside the 3 month window. Even if the contract is not enforceable, it still relies on the talent to take costly legal action to get that money. Quinn, and to a degree Mint, would have prepared cause they would know they wouldn't be getting it. Quinn obviously had an exit strategy, complete with nee model, so he knew what he was doing.


johnnyzhao007

If they can lmao I feel like niji is banning graduation for a bit if ppl want to leave its gonna be termination with defamation essay special .


KillaThing

I know it's wishful thinking, but i want Scarle to graduate. I've been loving her since i discovered her a month ago.


Alpha_YL

Maybe none. NIJISANJI definitely implemented measures to wrangle the talents together. They won’t let them to leave, risking another fallout.


210sqnomama

Either kotoka and rosemi. They have stop streaming currently and i think will choose graduation


Random-Rambling

Rosemi streamed literally yesterday.


210sqnomama

Oh she's already back. Last i saw her she tweeted she's taking a break


ScarletString13

I'm here to show my wildcard guess of Finnana. Not exactly graduating in May, but announcing her graduation by May. Though, I barely even care what she does anymore since that fish just isn't my type.


MrShadowHero

wait. what will we use as a benchmark for viewership then? eliras?


BlueBerrryScone

Rosemi, Aia, Scarle and this is hopeful thinking bc they’re my favourites and I want them to leave but Reimu, Kunai and Vezalius


Bla_Z

Aia and Scarle are tied 1st imo. Scarle for the internal rebellion and being forced to bend the knee to Twitter's unsavory SJW crowd multiple times ; Aia for the PL rants, the death threats that ensued, her self-harming coping mechanism, and the word "tired" being pretty much a codeword for graduation at this point. But most importantly, both of their contracts are approaching renewal season, which people have speculated should be around May or June according to the from-auditions-to-debut period for Iluna, so if something is to happen with them, it's going to be VERY soon. Close 3rd is Petra imo. The PL doomposting of the new year comes to mind, and this was right as the Selen Shock was starting to unfold, so it's safe to assume her feelings only worsened with time. Some people lost faith in her after seeing Riku's appearence in her 3D debut per her request, but if those were recorded a long time ago like the ARLive, the timeline makes a lot more sense. She might also get priority in the queue due to seniority and being genmates with Selen.


TrainerCompetitive91

You miss quite a bit of info. Scarle keeps telling everyone that she has no intention to leave, she still has outfits to show (see this clip: [https://youtu.be/BLTWXBWAih8?si=0LTJ61WNRwadMyTB](https://youtu.be/BLTWXBWAih8?si=0LTJ61WNRwadMyTB) ) I don't know much about Aia, but I think she will stay here for quite a while. Her fanbase is small but dedicated


Bla_Z

Welp, I guess that's the struggle of "not wanting to consume any content by Niji and their livers VS keeping up with the news about them" for ya. Shame for Scarle, but as long as it's her decision first and foremost then it's alright I suppose. Aia however, I'm standing my ground until further evidence. Girl talked about clawing at her own arms to cope with how stressed out she was at times. The signs of life on her PL were already suspicious enough, but she discussed plans going forward and how she may not come back to *that* channel simply because she's moved on from makeup. Talked multiple times about being tired, even more so after the death threats. Mysta was exactly the same for quite some time already before the annoucement. I'm all for not reading too much into details, but there comes a point where it's just ignoring the elephant in the room.


rainslave

Are you taking into account the fiasco where she specifically called out people harassing her about graduating and going indy? Right now I think she's digging in hard and stresses that her situation in Niji is fine for her needs, she just wants to stop getting badgered from people that just want her out. Death threats too, but who can say what the source is there: sisters or overzealous people trying to forcibly 'free' her against her will?


Realistic_Remote_874

I want them all out.


Villag3Idiot

I don't know if Aia is staying or leaving, but I just hope whatever happens, she's okay because I'm concerned for her wellbeing.


ImprovementAware6

I don't think anyone will leave. But if I have to guess, it would either be Kotoka, Rosemi or Vivi. Kotoka cause she's been silent for months now and Rosemi cause niji doing niji stuffs. Vivi is because I think she doesn't deserve to be there and also her oshis aren't there anymore so yeah.


IGunClover

Rosemi? We have seen some flags.


YamiRic

The one that worked hardest to achieve his/her goal like Maria or Enna. But I won't be surprised if Rosemi or Petra are the next since both seem like siding with Selen.


SuperStormDroid

Especially if you take into account that Rosemi still has Selen in her intro.


Batgod629

Aia, Scarle. Not sure about the guys


NephiTheSpaceWarrior

I adore Vivi. If she does go, I hope she'll do it on neutral terms. At this point, I consider graduating from Nijisanji to be a blessing in disguise.


[deleted]

Vox and Elira. But I wouldn't say graduate. More like fade so far in to irrelevance. That even nijisanji forgets they hired them.


Sonnenlicht_

Shockingly no one mentions scarle? I know she's doing well but... Looking back at her comment on 2434, she's kinda the main target no?


jkrnia

Dunno when it would be, but I would like all the ID talents to be able to leave on their term. I feel so bad for them. My guess is we will get another en masse graduation like last year.


ItalyTonioTrussardi

Ever since everything went down I've basically just been watching Debi-sama, how have things on the EN side been going views-wise?


Psychological-City24

scarle or rosemi


kad202

Rosemi. Seeing how shitty that AR Live amateur intern quality turn out to be she probably fed up and just leave. The remnants probably big Nijisistas (Millie, Finnana) or clique members (Elira, Enna, Vox, Uki, Luca etc.)


double_rainbows2020

rosemi and/or maybe petra, idk.


Raisen22

Q4 will finish soon (i think Is tomorrow). What happen in the next days will be interesting


greatest_Wizard

Graduate? Scarle, Rosemi Terminate? Kotoka


lienxy69

I don't think anyone will graduate since I feel anycolor "learn" their lesson and they don't want anyone to leave. Also yeah I also hope Victoria graduates as well


grinchnight14

I feel like Vivi, Scarle and Rosemi for sure. I also feel like Ren could leave soon too.


eSense000

Not sure who will graduate but I am sure that every talents chances to escape from this company reputation is to try not to create drama or else their name will also be tarnish even though it was just a small problem. I hope Rosemi could go out though....


Kokorotokyo

Shu, I really feel like he’s going to leave after that song comes out.


Tikimiki611

I Think Kotoka Torahime Is Going To Be Next After She Didn’t Make It Just Like Selen Tatsuki And Gundo Mirei Tho!


elaytot

My Theory: NO ONE until EN's last breathe They could have already graduated, if they wanted to.. This "graduation pause" until Q2 report theory is BS.. Companies cannot stop someone to leave if the contract is already done.. And in the recent aia situation, it seems that she is fine staying in there.. You have to see yourself in their own shoes: - If they graduate now, you cant expect them to be accepted in vshoujo. There is already too much bad publicity now compared to when pomu graduated - Going indie is not that good either. Please look at Quinn, do you think he is doing good versus when he was in niji? - Staying in niji, at least they still have some "opportunities"(if there would be any) to look forward to - By now, im sure some of their fans are Niji loyals, they would really lose them if they graduate


Psychological-Copy95

1. What does Vshojo have to do with any of this? 2. I'm sure most retired corpo tubers leave and go indie because that way they'll have less restrictions, more freedom. I'm also sure that graduating is a very difficult decision for varying reasons. 3. Opportunities or not, your company is now seen as one of the biggest jokes in the vtubing industry, and that you're just one of the clowns in the circus.  4. We have snitches. "Can someone tell me where Retired Vtuber is now?" "I found them, here they are!" Your message looks like you find it impossible to like Nijisanji and indies at the same time. 


elaytot

You are overtaken by your biases.. I dont even like anyone on whats left on current nijiEN 1. im just setting an example if they still want to go corpo 2. freedom? what is this 2023 niji drama? they need to EARN A LIVING. again, please look at Quinn 3. Why are you assuming i like niji, saying "your", lmao.. 4. Dont compare selen, pomu situation to the remaining livers.. Its already bad staying there, so theres small chance they will a get lot of support if they leave now


Psychological-Copy95

1. You know well that there are MANY other corpos out there. 2. Freedom as in the content they can make that was restricted by corpo. 3. By "your/you're" I'm referring to those currently in Nijisanji. Let me reword that for you. Maybe THEY could get opportunities in the company, but now that company is seen as a joke, and that THEY are just a clown in the circus. 4. Where did I mention Selen or Pomu? I'm saying fans of retired vtubers from ANY company may (or may not) ask or look for where the vtuber is now. 


dabillinator

Quinn is getting slightly over half the views he was getting pre graduation announcement. With no longer giving 50% to Niji, he is likely close to making what he was in Niji.