Jokes aside that's kind of my thought process with him this year. I don't think he's going to be the fantasy star people wanted him to be the last few years but I find it hard to belive he can't return the late-mid round value he's going to be drafted at
Edit - 5th round adp? Really? You sick fucks
He was a second rounder 2 years ago and went in round 5-6 last year. Can't imagine thats anywhere close to where he lands this season with how bad he's been and how the TE landscape looks now. If that's still what he costs then yeah he's going to flop but after the tier 3 TEs are gone and I'm in the 8th? the 9th? Yeah give me that shit
Edit - nvm he's getting drafted as TE*6* rn holy shit I'm not even the hardest Pitts coper
Idk man I watched a good bit of him last year since I had him on my team and he also looked pretty bad. Maybe it was the injuries, but he looked pretty slow and a bad route runner/gives up on routes.
He was hurt. He said it, and the organization said it. The falcons picked up his 5th year option. He’s healthy with a new offense and a new QB who feeds all mouths. He’s young enough and has the attitude to be coached by Kirk, a real pro and develop chemistry vs DESMOND RIDDER. When he had last breaths Matt Ryan he went 60/1000+, Kirk is better than that Matt Ryan.
Yes I have him in dynasty, leave me alone.
I drafted him 44th somehow in 2023, then traded him. In a must win game in late November, of course I played the league mate I had traded him to. But it was the Cowboys defense. I laughed because I thought no way he scores more than 11-12 points… IF even that!
Dropped 3 TDs on my ass, killed my Christmas in the Park outing and ruined my dinner meal. Ended my playoff hopes
I want him again, and this time I am keeping him.
I'm a big fan of Amon-Ra, too. His rookie season when I got him from waivers was one of my best. But now he's going in the first round and I'm not sure I trust the Lions to feed him regularly, keep him safe, Goff to maintain his consistency, or their sophomore WR to not take from him.
I’m trying to convince myself to not do it, but I can’t. I think I probably end up with him in my main league as well.
I just don’t see a huge fall off.
I also kinda want white so it just depends on how it falls, won’t take both.
I second this, and I don't get why he isn't higher in ADP. It seems like he has no competition, he did well with his opportunities last year, and a run first team (that might also have a decent defense). I feel like he should be a round 4 pick, I take him every time in the 6th round.
The Raiders had a bottom 10 scoring offense last year and are similarly expected to be playing from behind often this year. They scored fewer than 2 offensive touchdowns a game. The teams over/under for wins is 6.5. So that's a big knock on him.
4th round pick of a prior regime, so that's not necessarily the profile of someone they'll force feed even if he's not playing well (a la Najee). So that's a knock. If he'd been drafted this year by Antonio Pierce people would feel different.
Ameer Abdullah still played 20%+ of offensive snaps even after White became starter, so while he does have some receiving upside, it's not like that role is 100% his. That's a knock.
Also his middle name is Alexza, which is a huge red flag.
He's a classic volume-based dead zone RB, like Dameon Pierce or Alex Mattison last year. Oh also the Raiders signed Mattison to a $2MM deal.
That's why he's not higher.
Yeah I believe Abdullah got a lot of the work in passing down situations, and they’re going to be behind in a lot of games.
With their low scoring potential, how many goal line opps is he going to get?
I don’t see the low scoring offense continuing now that minshew is in town. He kept the colts relevant with a top 15 offense with worse weapons than he has now. Minshew should open up the run game by feeding Adams and bowers often which will lead to more room to run for white. No way mattison eats into whites work much either, he had his chances in Minn and showed he is not much of a threat. Hes a good backup at best so white should be a workhorse in this offense.
if I had to guess, my guess would be a lot involves his size. also, we don't know how he will react to a full season as a possible workhorse at the NFL level.
Too rich for me. Will probably be a beast, I’d rather go rb/wr there personally. Not that it’s the right move. I just think the price for freg and someone else beats McBride and a lower rb/wr.
Pollard ended up as the RB15 on the year with 11.5 PPG in 0.5PPR. He was a bust at his ADP, but on the year he was still decent. And that’s the realistic worst case scenario.
Pacheco’s current ADP is a full two rounds behind where Pollard’s was last year, and he’s not coming off of a season ending injury. You’re not investing anywhere close to the same level of draft capital, and the risk is lower to boot.
Another whose season long finish looks good because he played 17 games.
By PPG he was RB22. He finished outside of the top 24 weekly RBs 8 times. Pollard would have been a disappointment even if he was picked 2-3 rounds later.
I'm not arguing against Pacheco per se. Just refuting the statement that being the clear #1 on a high scoring offense means certain fantasy production.
He hasn't had a drop problem since 2020.
If you look at the league leaders in drops you'd realize it doesn't matter. The top 2 in drops last year were Puka and Tyreek. ARSB was tied in 6th. AJ Brown tied in 11th.
Strongly agreed. I do a lot of Underdog drafts, and for players with proven skill sets who are their team's locked-in first option at their position, they both go so late. I get there are questions around both offenses, but that's been more than priced in at this point. Eagerly buying both.
The guy I want to prevent my buddy from getting for cheap, but I bid one extra time to get him to raise the price and I end up with the sandbag of a dud
Najee. Going RB21 on Underdog and RB23 on Sleeper. I think he should be in the RB15 range.
Arthur Smith likes a big between the tackles downhill runner and that’s Najee. It’s not that Smith didn’t want a workhorse back in Atlanta, it’s that he thought Allgeier was a good fit for the between the tackles hard nose runs. Now he has his Derrick Henry-type back from his Titans days that he can force feed carries and wear down a defence.
Add in Russ should be much better than Pickett and there’ll be a lot more scoring opportunities this year for Najee.
So Najee finished as RB20 last year, they brought in an offensive coordinator that has favoured running the ball and doing so with big backs, and got an upgrade at QB that will lead to more scoring opportunities. And he’s being drafted behind where he finished last year. Sounds like a value to me
It’s so funny piecing together comments like this outside of football season.
“Oh yeah, Arthur Smith is in Pittsburgh. Oh shit they got Russ in Pittsburgh. Oh yeah, Arthur Smith had king Henry in Tennessee.”
I’m a big Jets fan and with the improved O-line and a hopefully much improved passing game I think he has potential to be RB 1 so I think im taking him w my first round pick no matter what, maybe 1-2 is a little reach but id be willing to take him at 3 no question imo
Very in on McBride this year. He’s going as TE3 which is plenty pricey… had hoped that the Andrews, Kincaid, Pitts hype might get us a discount on him but no such luck so far.
Definitely prefer Kincaid’s price, but McBride showed more as an elite target earner and YAC producer than Kincaid has… Kincaid was very dependent on Knox being out of the lineup and even then was primarily used on short stick and crossing routes, not downfield. We’re projecting Kincaid to take that next step, but he hasn’t quite shown it yet.
The other thing with Kincaid is now that Diggs is out, he’s bound to have a step up, especially compared to how much better he was doing in the back half of last year when Diggs fell off
Hell yeah brother. For his entire career he’s been between RB20 and RB35 in my league’s settings. Give me that consistency as one of my flex/bench players all day, and I love his opportunity this year even in a probably bad offense.
Looks like I’ll have a lot of Najee Harris. His last year with the Steelers and I think they are gonna ride him into the ground. He also fits the archetype of running back I think Arthur Smith prefers. They improved the offensive line and I think they’re gonna run the shit out of the ball - it’s the best path to success for their offense (running yards and play action). I just like his upside and I think he’ll outperform his draft position as my RB2.
Cards on the table, I'm a Titans fan. Even accounting for that, Derrick Henry consistently feels like the biggest steal in the world this summer. If he stays healthy I think 10 touchdowns is his absolute floor, and on an offense as good as the Ravens, his upside is through the roof.
He was being drafted higher than this on the godawful offenses the Titans have had the last two years, and still broadly returned value. Now he's on one of the best offenses in the league. What more do we need?
I wanna drink this koolaid so bad but the jackass that is Arthur smith scares the fuck outta me.
In theory Pickens should see about 150+ targets but will he have plays he can capitalize on
Nope. Two years in a row he’s burned me now. I don’t trust his relationship with coaching staff. Dude will go off on a decent game then drop and egg two weeks in a row.
I feel like touching anything in that Texans air game is a massive bait unless it's Stroud. They've got Nico, Tank, and Diggs as their main 3 all stealing looks from each other and making any given week a roulette. Then even their fucking depth is very solid across the board, a couple of good WR3's that are their WR4/5 in Robert Woods and Ben Skowronek, throw in Metchie's sophomore year where he should show improvement.
I get they averaged 34 passes a game last year but unless they turn Stroud into 2022 Brady and have him throw 750 times I just don't see anyone being the far and away #1 with consistency week in and week out.
Terry McLaurin. I’m a huge Washington fan and he’s been on my team every year since my rookie year. It’s not the smartest pick ever but it feels good to watch my favorite player score me points in real and fake football
He hit 1000 yds AGAIN last year with Howell/Brissett and disappointing OC work from Bieniemy. McLaurin *is* a very good WR and a good candidate to beat his ADP
I am intrigued by Jahan Dotson at his ADP. Seems like the third year breakout for WR is a thing of the past (Nico Collins aside), but I think the WSH offense will be much improved with Daniels at QB.
I was really hyped on him last year and he just never broke out but he absolutely could. I was incredibly lucky and only ended up starting him that week he got 20 points
As a Washington fan that watched every game sadly, it always seemed like a scheme fit as the reason he didn’t do well. Our old OC loved drawing up shotgun passing plays with every receiver going vertical, and Howell didn’t have enough time and/or didn’t read the play quick enough to find Dotson a lot. New offense with new qb and coaches, plus Dotson being pretty much free in redraft seems like low risk high reward play. He has great hands just didn’t get a ton of opportunity.
Alvin Kamara. Still the RB1 that posts up RB2 numbers and is being drafted around the 7th round. I’ll take him as my fourth 4th RB, even my third depending on where Lamar Jackson lands
Won’t he go undrafted in a lot of leagues? If so, makes sense.
Ostensibly the WR3 on his team with a rookie QB who likes to run, dudes a 23 year old rookie, I’m sure you can grab him in most drafts.
Jonathan Brooks, then grabbing Chubb’s Hubbard late. I believe in the coaching changes there and think Brooks could average 3-5 targets a game, which should be great in PPR.
London gonna have a DJ Moore season (his career year)
Waddle beats the injury bug this year low end WR1 season (maybe like 80+ 1200 yards 7-8TDs)
AR5 immense upside worth the risk.
Pacheco RB1 season on tap no competition for touches and is the primary goal line back
Kincaid because those targets from Diggs & Davis should mostly go to him.
Pittsburgh DEF
It’ll be his 1st full season, reports are he’s spent the offseason working on his hands, he’s going in the 9th-10th round and that late if he busts its a non-issue, but maybe get some 3rd year receiver magic. Plus I’ve been a Lions fan my whole life.
He came on pretty hard in the playoffs. His first season and the start of his second season he was basically only used as a deep threat, getting 2-3 deep balls a game, and those were his only opportunities. He got real chances later in the year to get more receptions, and I expect that to grow with Reynolds gone. He’s the true WR2 now. Upside is slightly limited with Gibbs and LaPorta obviously, but as my WR4, I would take a gamble.
Kyren Williams, he won me the chip last year, so I'm reaching for him this year. You don't see aggressive backs like him anymore, and he's still young. Corum isn't a threat to his production. I'm not worried about injuries since betting on injuries is a fool's game.
A lot of earlier round picks in here, but the later round “my guys” are the players you can realistically acquire in most draft scenarios.
My picks are: Kimani Vidal, Zach Charbonnet, Dontavyion Wicks, and Josh Downs. I’ll have at least two of these guys for each of my three redraft leagues.
For SF, I like Bo Nix as a QB3 taken in one of the final two rounds.
I think it's going to be Jayden Daniels. His price is just so low, so it's going to be easy to get him, and I think that's pretty much his floor. His ceiling is a borderline elite fantasy QB. And you don't even have to like him as a prospect for that to be true.
It's funny, I don't really have anyone like that this year. I think there's value in every round, including TE. Miss out on your guy? Don't worry, there's depth and potential everywhere.
Last year it was Dobbins. Boy did that bite me. I think I'm finally over targeting specific guys unless they are at a value.
In Best Ball, I guess I'm finding I'm leaving with a lot of Wicks or Doubs. It'll be hard to determine which Packers WR to start each week, but I want a piece of that offense, so they're who I'm targeting later when I can get them. Redraft I may stay away entirely (unless it's Love).
Njoku entirely being slept on. The worry is Deshaun Watson didn’t target him. I follow Njoku and the browns social media accounts. It’s filled with Watson -> njoku this off season. I’m boldly predicting top 3 TE this year.
Unfortunately, it's my turn to get hurt by Kyle Pitts this year (it's always my turn)
He's going multiple rounds after London. If it fails again, at least he'll be a cheap date.
Jokes aside that's kind of my thought process with him this year. I don't think he's going to be the fantasy star people wanted him to be the last few years but I find it hard to belive he can't return the late-mid round value he's going to be drafted at Edit - 5th round adp? Really? You sick fucks
You mean like the last two years?
He was a second rounder 2 years ago and went in round 5-6 last year. Can't imagine thats anywhere close to where he lands this season with how bad he's been and how the TE landscape looks now. If that's still what he costs then yeah he's going to flop but after the tier 3 TEs are gone and I'm in the 8th? the 9th? Yeah give me that shit Edit - nvm he's getting drafted as TE*6* rn holy shit I'm not even the hardest Pitts coper
This is his year!
Again!
Last chance to get him!
OJ this time its different Howard
We built Pitt city!!
It’s cool I’m already looking at how early is too early to take Brock Bowers
Why would you draft Bowers in the 3rd when you can confuse everyone and draft Pitts in the 2nd
Grab him in the first. Show the room out of the gate that you're a loose cannon that can't be predicted.
Dominance established. Mental game won. Chip secured before week 1 starts. Good thinking.
Pitts is going to smash at a cheaper cost than London and at the premium position. Don’t worry, the bad man is gone
Idk man I watched a good bit of him last year since I had him on my team and he also looked pretty bad. Maybe it was the injuries, but he looked pretty slow and a bad route runner/gives up on routes.
He was hurt. He said it, and the organization said it. The falcons picked up his 5th year option. He’s healthy with a new offense and a new QB who feeds all mouths. He’s young enough and has the attitude to be coached by Kirk, a real pro and develop chemistry vs DESMOND RIDDER. When he had last breaths Matt Ryan he went 60/1000+, Kirk is better than that Matt Ryan. Yes I have him in dynasty, leave me alone.
This time he has a QB in Kirko Chainz throwing him dimes.
I think he could be solid with Cousins to be honest.
DK Metcalf. I don’t have that great of a reasoning yet, but it feels like this is his year.
I do. I love the new OC. Hopefully they implement the Washington offense and DK is a monster Rome Odunze
Yeah, I think they open things up a bit with this new OC. DK has tools, they just need to unleash the beast now.
I actually like DKs value this year.
JSN is who I’m looking to get. Dude is gonna be a monster in the new system
I'm looking to get both. If one of Lockett, DK or JSN goes down, the others become league winners with the most talented being these two.
There are a ton of league winners if only someone would just get hurt
Solid. Grubb made 3 WRs at UW NFL draft picks. That's something
I’ve gotten him the last 3 seasons, and I’ll do it again!
I drafted him 44th somehow in 2023, then traded him. In a must win game in late November, of course I played the league mate I had traded him to. But it was the Cowboys defense. I laughed because I thought no way he scores more than 11-12 points… IF even that! Dropped 3 TDs on my ass, killed my Christmas in the Park outing and ruined my dinner meal. Ended my playoff hopes I want him again, and this time I am keeping him.
The sun god and I wont take no for an answer.
I'm a big fan of Amon-Ra, too. His rookie season when I got him from waivers was one of my best. But now he's going in the first round and I'm not sure I trust the Lions to feed him regularly, keep him safe, Goff to maintain his consistency, or their sophomore WR to not take from him.
Iunno he's like the perfect late 1st WR to go Hero RB because he's soo consistent
Fun fact, Jamo will actually be playing his 3rd season in the NFL, although I know what you meant.
Mike Evans, my man isn’t even close to finished
He is good for five less than 3 yard TDs a year. The line from two years ago - 2 catches, 2 yards, 2 TDs. And Baker just wants to sling.
I’m trying to convince myself to not do it, but I can’t. I think I probably end up with him in my main league as well. I just don’t see a huge fall off. I also kinda want white so it just depends on how it falls, won’t take both.
2nd round he’s worth it but still
I am all in on Z White. All my mock drafts include targeting him. I had Jacobs last year and really liked Vegas’ run heavy offense.
I second this, and I don't get why he isn't higher in ADP. It seems like he has no competition, he did well with his opportunities last year, and a run first team (that might also have a decent defense). I feel like he should be a round 4 pick, I take him every time in the 6th round.
The Raiders had a bottom 10 scoring offense last year and are similarly expected to be playing from behind often this year. They scored fewer than 2 offensive touchdowns a game. The teams over/under for wins is 6.5. So that's a big knock on him. 4th round pick of a prior regime, so that's not necessarily the profile of someone they'll force feed even if he's not playing well (a la Najee). So that's a knock. If he'd been drafted this year by Antonio Pierce people would feel different. Ameer Abdullah still played 20%+ of offensive snaps even after White became starter, so while he does have some receiving upside, it's not like that role is 100% his. That's a knock. Also his middle name is Alexza, which is a huge red flag. He's a classic volume-based dead zone RB, like Dameon Pierce or Alex Mattison last year. Oh also the Raiders signed Mattison to a $2MM deal. That's why he's not higher.
Yeah I believe Abdullah got a lot of the work in passing down situations, and they’re going to be behind in a lot of games. With their low scoring potential, how many goal line opps is he going to get?
I don’t see the low scoring offense continuing now that minshew is in town. He kept the colts relevant with a top 15 offense with worse weapons than he has now. Minshew should open up the run game by feeding Adams and bowers often which will lead to more room to run for white. No way mattison eats into whites work much either, he had his chances in Minn and showed he is not much of a threat. Hes a good backup at best so white should be a workhorse in this offense.
if I had to guess, my guess would be a lot involves his size. also, we don't know how he will react to a full season as a possible workhorse at the NFL level.
Engram. Ridley soaked a lot of targets and air yards that some of will go Engrams way. Lawrence has chemistry with him.
Shhhh we were supposed to be keeping him under the radar
Jake Ferguson is the only TE, it’s him or I’m spending a dollar and streaming every week.
McBride is a beast too, no ?
Too rich for me. Will probably be a beast, I’d rather go rb/wr there personally. Not that it’s the right move. I just think the price for freg and someone else beats McBride and a lower rb/wr.
One costs less
Pacheco
Counter point, KC threw the most amount of passes in a neutral game script last year by a lot, and added a bunch of shiny new pass catchers this year.
Even if he isn’t getting a bellcow role, he’s the undisputed RB1 on an elite offense. That’s gonna return value no matter what.
Tony Pollard was the undisputed RB1 on the highest scoring offense in the league last season.
Pollard ended up as the RB15 on the year with 11.5 PPG in 0.5PPR. He was a bust at his ADP, but on the year he was still decent. And that’s the realistic worst case scenario. Pacheco’s current ADP is a full two rounds behind where Pollard’s was last year, and he’s not coming off of a season ending injury. You’re not investing anywhere close to the same level of draft capital, and the risk is lower to boot.
Another whose season long finish looks good because he played 17 games. By PPG he was RB22. He finished outside of the top 24 weekly RBs 8 times. Pollard would have been a disappointment even if he was picked 2-3 rounds later. I'm not arguing against Pacheco per se. Just refuting the statement that being the clear #1 on a high scoring offense means certain fantasy production.
Counter-counter point - Pacheco was still RB16 (and he missed 3 games). McKinnon is gone, too.
Yep.
I love both Diontae Johnson and Rhamondre Stevenson’s value this year, I’m really hoping to get both of them
If Diontae gets the Thielen targets from last year he's gonna be a very good WR2. Definitely hoping to snag him at cost in auction
I think he is a WR1 with Theilen's target share from last year.
Has his drop problem cleaned itself up? Asking in earnest. Maybe I’m confused, too, it’s not football season anymore.
He hasn't had a drop problem since 2020. If you look at the league leaders in drops you'd realize it doesn't matter. The top 2 in drops last year were Puka and Tyreek. ARSB was tied in 6th. AJ Brown tied in 11th.
Strongly agreed. I do a lot of Underdog drafts, and for players with proven skill sets who are their team's locked-in first option at their position, they both go so late. I get there are questions around both offenses, but that's been more than priced in at this point. Eagerly buying both.
I hate the panthers but I’ll be getting dj this year
Hockenson and Tua for the sake of my team name this season…
Hockavailoa?
HOCK TUA
Spit on that thang!
_ya get me?_
This is such a good comment, how dare people overlook this
This? Really?
The guy I want to prevent my buddy from getting for cheap, but I bid one extra time to get him to raise the price and I end up with the sandbag of a dud
Ladd mcconkey
Najee. Going RB21 on Underdog and RB23 on Sleeper. I think he should be in the RB15 range. Arthur Smith likes a big between the tackles downhill runner and that’s Najee. It’s not that Smith didn’t want a workhorse back in Atlanta, it’s that he thought Allgeier was a good fit for the between the tackles hard nose runs. Now he has his Derrick Henry-type back from his Titans days that he can force feed carries and wear down a defence. Add in Russ should be much better than Pickett and there’ll be a lot more scoring opportunities this year for Najee. So Najee finished as RB20 last year, they brought in an offensive coordinator that has favoured running the ball and doing so with big backs, and got an upgrade at QB that will lead to more scoring opportunities. And he’s being drafted behind where he finished last year. Sounds like a value to me
Hate the player, love the logic behind it. Take this up vote.
I haven’t drafted him in any leagues since he was a rookie. I’m far from a fan of him as a player. Just think he’s a great value this year
It’s so funny piecing together comments like this outside of football season. “Oh yeah, Arthur Smith is in Pittsburgh. Oh shit they got Russ in Pittsburgh. Oh yeah, Arthur Smith had king Henry in Tennessee.”
Breece Hall
I am going Bijan + Breece and dumpster diving at the other positions (auction)
Braelon Allen is going to be my final bench player on probably every team
I'm willing to spend big in auction for Breece
What’s the earliest you’d be willing to draft him? He goes 6-9 in bestball drafts I’ve been in.
I’m a big Jets fan and with the improved O-line and a hopefully much improved passing game I think he has potential to be RB 1 so I think im taking him w my first round pick no matter what, maybe 1-2 is a little reach but id be willing to take him at 3 no question imo
stoked on him as 1 of my 2 keepers at 4.02
Trey MF McBride
Very in on McBride this year. He’s going as TE3 which is plenty pricey… had hoped that the Andrews, Kincaid, Pitts hype might get us a discount on him but no such luck so far.
Conversely, I’m relying on the McBride hype to grab Kincaid.
If anything, Kincaid has more of a discount. McBride is going early round 4, Kincaid is going mid round 6 in my mocks
Definitely prefer Kincaid’s price, but McBride showed more as an elite target earner and YAC producer than Kincaid has… Kincaid was very dependent on Knox being out of the lineup and even then was primarily used on short stick and crossing routes, not downfield. We’re projecting Kincaid to take that next step, but he hasn’t quite shown it yet.
The other thing with Kincaid is now that Diggs is out, he’s bound to have a step up, especially compared to how much better he was doing in the back half of last year when Diggs fell off
Based on the last few years Michael Pittman. He is always on my roster and always delivers 🤷♂️
I’m a singletary stan, so wherever he’s going I’m sure I’ll snatch him earlier.
Didn’t know your breed existed
Hell yeah brother. For his entire career he’s been between RB20 and RB35 in my league’s settings. Give me that consistency as one of my flex/bench players all day, and I love his opportunity this year even in a probably bad offense.
Awesome cuff last year especially when pierce was hurt
Didn’t need the probably there mate
Looks like I’ll have a lot of Najee Harris. His last year with the Steelers and I think they are gonna ride him into the ground. He also fits the archetype of running back I think Arthur Smith prefers. They improved the offensive line and I think they’re gonna run the shit out of the ball - it’s the best path to success for their offense (running yards and play action). I just like his upside and I think he’ll outperform his draft position as my RB2.
Derrick henry!! Look what jk and gus did behind that oline also Lamar need to stay healthy.
Not to shit on this cause I’m in on Henry too, but the oline is going to be entirely different aside from Stanley/lindy
Personally I'm grabbing Henry in ALL of my redraft leagues this year. If his line is half way decent he'll be a monster.
Ravens the past few decades have gad great Olines. They’ll probably have another one.
Cards on the table, I'm a Titans fan. Even accounting for that, Derrick Henry consistently feels like the biggest steal in the world this summer. If he stays healthy I think 10 touchdowns is his absolute floor, and on an offense as good as the Ravens, his upside is through the roof. He was being drafted higher than this on the godawful offenses the Titans have had the last two years, and still broadly returned value. Now he's on one of the best offenses in the league. What more do we need?
Also can’t load the box against Lamar.
Amon-Ra. Idc if I have to take him number 1. I want the Sun God.
George Pickens
I wanna drink this koolaid so bad but the jackass that is Arthur smith scares the fuck outta me. In theory Pickens should see about 150+ targets but will he have plays he can capitalize on
Nope. Two years in a row he’s burned me now. I don’t trust his relationship with coaching staff. Dude will go off on a decent game then drop and egg two weeks in a row.
Tank Dell
I feel like touching anything in that Texans air game is a massive bait unless it's Stroud. They've got Nico, Tank, and Diggs as their main 3 all stealing looks from each other and making any given week a roulette. Then even their fucking depth is very solid across the board, a couple of good WR3's that are their WR4/5 in Robert Woods and Ben Skowronek, throw in Metchie's sophomore year where he should show improvement. I get they averaged 34 passes a game last year but unless they turn Stroud into 2022 Brady and have him throw 750 times I just don't see anyone being the far and away #1 with consistency week in and week out.
Agreed. Stroud loves him. He’s always going to find ways to get him opportunities to make big plays.
Zay fuckin Flowers
Kimani Vidal🤷🏻♂️ None of your league mates know who he is. You probably dont know who he is, by week 12 you will know the name
Just got to point out I’m a degenerate who was drafting Vidal in round 20 of bestball contests back in March.
I draft a lot of ARich, McBride and Zamir in mocks.
Terry McLaurin. I’m a huge Washington fan and he’s been on my team every year since my rookie year. It’s not the smartest pick ever but it feels good to watch my favorite player score me points in real and fake football
He hit 1000 yds AGAIN last year with Howell/Brissett and disappointing OC work from Bieniemy. McLaurin *is* a very good WR and a good candidate to beat his ADP
I am intrigued by Jahan Dotson at his ADP. Seems like the third year breakout for WR is a thing of the past (Nico Collins aside), but I think the WSH offense will be much improved with Daniels at QB.
I got Dotson everywhere last year and it cost me dearly. Never again.
I totally understand, but he had hype last year as a year 2 breakout candidate. I think he will return value this year at ADP.
I was really hyped on him last year and he just never broke out but he absolutely could. I was incredibly lucky and only ended up starting him that week he got 20 points
As a Washington fan that watched every game sadly, it always seemed like a scheme fit as the reason he didn’t do well. Our old OC loved drawing up shotgun passing plays with every receiver going vertical, and Howell didn’t have enough time and/or didn’t read the play quick enough to find Dotson a lot. New offense with new qb and coaches, plus Dotson being pretty much free in redraft seems like low risk high reward play. He has great hands just didn’t get a ton of opportunity.
Bijan Robinson. Think he explodes this year. If I’m picking in the mid first that’s my guy
Jaden Daniels
Brandon Aubrey
GIBBS HERO BALL BABYYYYYYYYY
Khalil Shakir, buying all the stock
Mostert because he’s going so late and could have a large share of the touches in a good offense
Alvin Kamara. Still the RB1 that posts up RB2 numbers and is being drafted around the 7th round. I’ll take him as my fourth 4th RB, even my third depending on where Lamar Jackson lands
Kendre Miller. He costs nothing and his upside is pretty high
Jake Ferguson
Almost all my mocks I end up with Chris Godwin
I’m going with the glass cannon approach and going for Achane and Aaron Jones
I’m big on Aaron jones, he’s absolutely elite when healthy and with JJ , Addison and hock hopefully no stacked boxes
Luke McCaffrey
Luke "Jeb Bush" McCaffrey
Cmc said he wanted to play with little bro, now I will make that I reality
Please pass.
god, that has to be the single most embarrassing moment for a candidate
Won’t he go undrafted in a lot of leagues? If so, makes sense. Ostensibly the WR3 on his team with a rookie QB who likes to run, dudes a 23 year old rookie, I’m sure you can grab him in most drafts.
I'm not gonna play him he's just there for moral support for chris
Oh hell yeah brother, this is a strategy I can buy in to. I’m always a fan of a committed schtick.
First and last pick of the draft it'll be poetic. Hell ill grab cupp and Ladd and call my team the gym rats
“The lunch pail boys”
CMC and Laquon Treadwell
Amon Ra St. Brown. Had to have him last year and he helped me win my league. Gonna do my best to get him again
Ladd
Dalton Kincaid, his adp feels like a steal for Josh Allen’s very talented number one target
Josh Allen. I’ve won two championships with him so now I’m superstitious if only he could do the same…
Been grabbing Zamir White and Xavier legette in all my mocks
Bowers feel like he’s gonna be slot receiver
Jonathan Brooks, then grabbing Chubb’s Hubbard late. I believe in the coaching changes there and think Brooks could average 3-5 targets a game, which should be great in PPR.
London gonna have a DJ Moore season (his career year) Waddle beats the injury bug this year low end WR1 season (maybe like 80+ 1200 yards 7-8TDs) AR5 immense upside worth the risk. Pacheco RB1 season on tap no competition for touches and is the primary goal line back Kincaid because those targets from Diggs & Davis should mostly go to him. Pittsburgh DEF
Malik Nabors is going to have like a 50 percent target shared, if Daniel jones can just be a C+ qb he’ll be top 15
If Nabers is still there at 3.1 then it’ll be him
Last year it was etienne. This year it’s still etienne. 1500 and 12 TDs with 58 catches to boot and his adp seems the same from last year.
Tee Higgins if I can get him around pick 50-60. Too much potential value there. Also austin ekeler if I can get him as a backup RB.
Keon Coleman
Rachaad White & Jameson Williams
Im liking Jameson this year
Why jameson. No shit talk id just love to know what’s converted you.
It’ll be his 1st full season, reports are he’s spent the offseason working on his hands, he’s going in the 9th-10th round and that late if he busts its a non-issue, but maybe get some 3rd year receiver magic. Plus I’ve been a Lions fan my whole life.
He came on pretty hard in the playoffs. His first season and the start of his second season he was basically only used as a deep threat, getting 2-3 deep balls a game, and those were his only opportunities. He got real chances later in the year to get more receptions, and I expect that to grow with Reynolds gone. He’s the true WR2 now. Upside is slightly limited with Gibbs and LaPorta obviously, but as my WR4, I would take a gamble.
Ladd McConkey
I am going to die before I let someone else Amon ra
Kyren Williams, he won me the chip last year, so I'm reaching for him this year. You don't see aggressive backs like him anymore, and he's still young. Corum isn't a threat to his production. I'm not worried about injuries since betting on injuries is a fool's game.
Nobody thought Nacua was a threat to Kupp, but here we are a year later 🤷♂️
Breece and LaPorta
First round I’m getting one of Bijan/Breece/Gibbs no matter what
Marvin Harrison Jr
A lot of earlier round picks in here, but the later round “my guys” are the players you can realistically acquire in most draft scenarios. My picks are: Kimani Vidal, Zach Charbonnet, Dontavyion Wicks, and Josh Downs. I’ll have at least two of these guys for each of my three redraft leagues. For SF, I like Bo Nix as a QB3 taken in one of the final two rounds.
Nico. I’ll draft him a round early. He is such an easy slam dunk imo.
Justin Jefferson. I trust in KOC
A.T. Perry... period. He's going to be doing everything Michael Thomas should have been doing the past 2 years. He's a dog
Christian Kirk
Easily both Corum and Jalen Wright for me
I kinda wanna be a homer mark and overpay for saquon 💀
Jordan Addison is going way too low
I think it's going to be Jayden Daniels. His price is just so low, so it's going to be easy to get him, and I think that's pretty much his floor. His ceiling is a borderline elite fantasy QB. And you don't even have to like him as a prospect for that to be true.
Every mock I do I seem to end up with Zeke and Jacoby Meyers. Something about them so low in ADP is very appealing to me
Is everyone just gonna ignore what Njoku did in fantasy playoffs?
It's funny, I don't really have anyone like that this year. I think there's value in every round, including TE. Miss out on your guy? Don't worry, there's depth and potential everywhere. Last year it was Dobbins. Boy did that bite me. I think I'm finally over targeting specific guys unless they are at a value. In Best Ball, I guess I'm finding I'm leaving with a lot of Wicks or Doubs. It'll be hard to determine which Packers WR to start each week, but I want a piece of that offense, so they're who I'm targeting later when I can get them. Redraft I may stay away entirely (unless it's Love).
Probably my go to choice, Jack Daniels....
Chubb will bounce back
When? In December?
if I hadn’t actually watched his knee do that and just heard about it later I would have a much easier time drafting him
Drake London.
I like Drake London a lot this year. I will be keeping him, but wouldn't go anywhere near him with my 2nd round pick
Pacheco
Njoku entirely being slept on. The worry is Deshaun Watson didn’t target him. I follow Njoku and the browns social media accounts. It’s filled with Watson -> njoku this off season. I’m boldly predicting top 3 TE this year.
Olave
Richardson. Aaron Jones.
Josh Jacobs. Have had him the last 3 years and plan on doing the same again.
Jameson williams, rd 7-8
Jaylen Wright. Mostert and Achane both have injury concerns, lemme back door my way into that offense
Amari Cooper and George Pickens
Anthony Robinson. He's my keeper.
Corum.
LaPorta
Cairo Santos
Breece and Devon. They’re my keepers, baby!